| |
|
|
Special
Report - A president craves understanding
Monday 13th September 2004
"Would you like it if people who shoot children in the back come
to power, anywhere on this planet?" Vladimir Putin gives our political
editor a homily, over tea and fruit cake. By John
Kampfner in Russia.
I asked myself: why is he doing it? Why us, why
me, at this of all times? We had been sitting with the president at his residence
on the western outskirts of Moscow all evening. It was three days after the massacre
in Beslan. Russia was in mourning for the hundreds of children mown down in one
of the most heinous terrorist acts of the modern age. With tension mounting across
the northern Caucasus, with at least one known female suicide bomber on the run
in Moscow, with the country in a state of near-panic, why would its leader spend
nearly four hours with a group of about three dozen foreign academics, policy-makers
and journalists?
I still do not know why, but I can hazard a guess. Vladimir
Putin - like so many other Russians with whom I have had dealings over
the years - craves a respect and understanding that he believes the
west unfairly denies him. He is adamant that Russia is now the epicentre
of the global war on terror. He is insistent that his policy towards
Chechnya has been flexible and lawful. He is furious that the foreign
media refer to "rebels", not "terrorists", and
he believes that some people abroad - security services and some
in government - are helping them to bring Russia to its knees. That
is what he wanted to tell us, and he would not cease until he felt
we understood.
As we arrived in Novo-Ogarevo, past the gated communities
of the new suburban elite, we were taken to an ante-room containing
a pool table and a plasma television set. There, we watched the eight
o'clock news on Channel 2, the most loyal of all the Russian channels.
It failed to ask any of the hard questions about how the Beslan rescue
attempt had been so botched, about why the authorities had underestimated
the numbers inside the school, about why Chechnya is the way it is.
What we did see was image after image of bodies being buried, of
mothers and fathers wailing uncontrollably in the pouring rain, of
a boy singing "Ave Maria" to a silent crowd in St Petersburg.
Eventually
we were taken upstairs, with the warning that the president was in
no mood for this meeting. With a wave of the hand, he beckoned us
to a long, rectangular table covered with a white cloth. We were
seated in alphabetical order and, as Putin invited questions, I was
one of those who tentatively raised their hands. He pointed across
the table at me.
By way of introduction, I offered our collective
condolences. I did not wish to sound insensitive, I ventured, but
surely his policy towards Chechnya had some bearing on the broader
problem? For the next 30 minutes, Putin gave an uninterrupted exegesis
of Russia's recent history. His eyes were fixed and expressionless;
he never hesitated or looked at notes. He conceded that the Chechens
had suffered terrible hardship during Stalin's deportations. They
had fought more valiantly than anyone else in defence of the Soviet
motherland against fascism. He also suggested that he might not have
done what Boris Yeltsin did in 1994 when he unleashed the first of
the modern Chechen wars. "I don't know how I would have acted.
Maybe yes, maybe no. But mistakes were made."
Putin explained that after the Russians withdrew, Chechnya received
what it wanted: "de facto independence". But local leaders
allowed it to be run down, encouraged extremism and turned it into
a launch pad for terrorists across Russia. "The vacuum was filled
by radical fundamentalism of the worst kind," he said. Men and
women were shot by firing squads, beaten with sticks, taken hostage.
In 1999, by which point he was prime minister, the Russian government
had no choice but to go back in, if only to prevent violence spreading
beyond Chechnya's borders. All the while, Russia searched for political
leaders to talk to: "We even tried to deal with people who were
bearing arms against us. We have done what you asked for." The
status of Chechnya was not the issue, he said. The independence question
has long since been subverted by Islamists with a bigger goal.
His
arguments, if selective in their use of history, were carefully framed
and fluently put. It was only when he referred to Beslan that he
allowed his emotions to show. Even at his angriest, however, he appeared
always in control. He finished his treatise - we were still on question
number one - by inviting me to ask myself: "Would
you like it if people who shoot children in the back come to power,
anywhere on this planet? If you asked yourself that, you wouldn't
ask any more questions about Russian policy."
Yet people are asking those questions. Earlier that day, I had gone
to a Metro station that, when I was first a journalist in the USSR
in the mid-1980s, I had used to go to work. Rizhskaya is now a
shrine, the latest of several across Russia to victims of the new
terror. Along a wall, people had placed carnations, photographs and
poems to their loved ones. On the evening of 31 August, a "black widow",
as Chechen female suicide bombers are now called, blew herself
up outside the station, by a row of shops. The death toll now stands
at nine - nothing much compared to Beslan; just another occurrence
in a week when two planes had also exploded in the sky.
I took the escalator down to the train, past the advertisements
for DVD players and detergents. On the intercom, a recorded message
asked travellers to look out for suspicious packages and to inform
on suspicious people. But to whom should they report their suspicions?
To the two young policemen slouching against a railing? In the
carriages, everyone looks at everyone else, wondering what they
might be planning, but they all know that they are powerless to
do anything about it. My mind wandered to what Putin had said in
his TV address to the nation on 4 September: "We showed ourselves
to be weak, and the weak get beaten."
Russia, in the midst of this violence, is weak. Civil society is
weak. The freedoms won in the early 1990s are weaker still. The
state, for all the professions to the contrary, is also weak. What
other conclusions could people draw after watching the events in
Beslan unfold live on television? No amount of subsequent censorship
could erase what they had seen. Putin became president in 2000
and was re-elected last March on a promise to "deal firmly" with
Chechnya and to restore order across the country after what is officially
called the "complete chaos" of the Yeltsin years. This
interpretation of history is now the staple at academic gatherings,
such as the three-day conference in the ancient city of Novgorod
to which I had originally been invited, along with the others who
eventually met Putin. "The people are tired. They want stability," said
Sergei Karaganov, head of the Council on Foreign and Defence Policy,
a man who has worked with the leaderships of Gorbachev, Yeltsin and
Putin. Some of the old thinking is back. Russia is not ready for
untrammelled markets and free speech (usually lumped together). The
group loosely called "democrats" of a decade ago has
all but disappeared, leaving individual politicians and journalists
to raise concerns such as human rights, often endangering themselves
in the process.
One name for the future is Vladimir Ryzhkov, a young
member of parliament who stood head and shoulders above others
at our gathering. He represents a new generation of more realistic
democrats, but nobody believes people such as him have a chance
at the next election. Putin will either change the constitution
to stay on, or he will appoint a like-minded successor. Just to
mount a challenge now is a feat in itself.
As for
Russian journalists, two outspoken commentators were prevented,
in suspicious circumstances, from reaching Beslan. One collapsed
on the plane, apparently after being given a cup of poisoned tea.
Another was held by police at Moscow airport after an altercation
with a drunk that seemed suspiciously planned. The editor of Izvestiya
- once a government mouthpiece but which had become a serious and
critical voice - was sacked after his paper reported that the number
of hostages in the school was much bigger than officials had said. "Zhurnalyuga" is
now a popular term among officials - "journalist-scum",
who they say are just writing under instruction for their oligarch
owners. What matters to Putin is that the media do not sully his
reputation as the man delivering order.
Some of the people I have
known for two decades were prepared to roll back some freedoms
in return for greater stability. The screaming of the bloodied
children of Beslan has brought home the awful truth that, four
years into Putin's rule, there may be less stability than there
has ever been. Western and Russian security officials fear the
next target could be a nuclear plant.
Nobody here is naive enough
to think that terrorism can be defeated for good. They see "developed countries" (they
use the term themselves) such as the US struggling to flush out
the various cells in their midst. However, there is a vast difference
in Russia. From the lowliest police officer manning a roadblock
to an intelligence officer in the FSB (the successor to the KGB)
to many in government, there is a suspicion that everyone can be
bought, and that many already have been.
Large budget increases for the army, the interior ministry
forces and the FSB did not prevent the rescue attempts in Beslan
being a shambles. The lessons of a previous siege at a Moscow theatre
in October 2002 when Chechens stormed the stage and 129 hostages
were killed as the security forces charged in with poison gas,
do not seem to have been learned. The state is flailing, using
any means possible to exert its control, but this is arbitrary
power often outside the rule of law. It is not authority.
Putin uses the word "efficient" time and again. He wants
the state to be efficient, the security forces to be efficient and
business to be efficient. He seemed to me to be perfectly aware of
the extent of the corruption in every walk of life, but his efforts
to crack down have been selectively applied. So far the main target
has been Mikhail Khodorkovsky, in jail on a charge to which almost
all Russians would plead guilty - not paying taxes. His Yukos oil
giant is being broken up. Yet similar strictures are not applied
to those working in the state. As one banker told me: "Government
is business. Everyone has a sideline." Land is apportioned at
nominal prices, just as nationalised industries were privatised among
the elite. The rehabilitation of the vast bureaucracy under Putin
has led, in the words of one entrepreneur, to a new problem: "You
simply don't know who to bribe any more."
Yet on one level, the
place is booming. Sports cars, designer shops and expensive restaurants
are now the norm for a sizeable number of people in the big cities.
The conspicuous consumption that began in the early 1990s has not
waned. Everyone is out simply to make money. And there are rich
pickings to be had from Chechnya. Who gains from oil tankers leaving
the republic? Who, strangely, does not seem to get fired upon by
either side? What has happened to the billions in state funds that
were supposed to go towards reconstruction? These are rhetorical
questions posed by intelligent Russians. There is precious little
evidence, because nobody would survive if they found any.
Conspiracy theories abound. Intriguingly, the foreign country
that arouses most sympathy is Israel. Israeli commentators are
in vogue and the Israeli security services are said to be helping
the Russians. Suspicion of western motives has returned. Vitaly
Tretyakov established one of the bravest newspapers of the 1990s,
Nezavisimaya Gazeta. Yet when westerners at our gathering challenged
Putin's Chechnya policy, he suggested that certain foreigners were
encouraging terrorists to undermine Russia. The invasion of Iraq
had been part of a concerted attempt, he said, to "take the war on terror off America's shores".
Chechnya, Putin told us, is not Iraq. "It is not a faraway
land. It is a crucial part of our territory. This is about Russia's
territorial integrity." It was now being used as a launch pad,
he said, and "certain foreign" elements were encouraging
the violence. The president told us he had confronted his western
counterparts about it, had even named names, only to be told that
they knew nothing about it. "We've observed incidents. It's
a replay of the mentality of the cold war. There are certain people
who want us to be focused purely on our internal problems. They
pull strings here so that we don't raise our heads internationally."
Russia, he insisted, no longer had "imperial" pretensions
beyond its border. It was not comfortable with Nato enlargement into
the once-Soviet Baltic states. He did not see why so-called partners
wanted to fly fighter jets alongside Russian airspace. This, he added,
resorting to another Soviet word, was nothing but a "provocation".
His country did not have the resources to guard its borders properly.
A weak and unstable Russia was in nobody's interests. "Has
anyone given a thought to what would happen if Russia were eliminated?"
Putin did not ascribe malign motives to foreign leaders, particularly
George W Bush, a "good man, a decent man" who had proven
himself a "predictable and reliable partner". For all their
disputes over Iraq, Bush had worked hard at "normalising" the
situation. (One wonders, if the Iraq war were starting now, whether
Putin would still oppose it.) John Kerry was not mentioned, nor was
Tony Blair or other European leaders. However, Putin had nothing
but praise for Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher. Both, he pointed
out, had struggled to introduce privatisation even in countries that "functioned
effectively"; indeed, he said, showing his grasp of British
history, Thatcher would not have survived without the Falklands war.
Russia had moved too quickly in the 1990s and chaos had ensued. In
principle, however, "no one disputes that a free market is more
efficient than a planned economy". The same went for freedom
of speech. It was an essential part of a country's development, but
journalists, too, had to be "efficient". Putin likened
the relationship between state and media to something he had seen
in an Italian film. "The role of the real man is to make advances.
The role of the real woman is to resist them." He smiled a
rare smile.
We had got through several cups of black tea and finished our
individual fruit sponge-cakes. It was beyond midnight. We had been
with our host for three and three-quarter hours. Whatever else
may be happening, Putin is utterly in control of the political
structures of Russia. His is a most unromantic view of his country
and the world. His iciness is, however, tinged with the odd flicker
of charm. A mindset that might seem fixed does seem occasionally
amenable to a new idea - but everything in good time.
On Chechnya and terrorism, he said, there
was no other way. He is prepared to hold parliamentary elections.
He wants more Chechens in the local security force. He wants to
open a dialogue, but not with "child killers". "I don't advise you to meet
Bin Laden, to invite him to Brussels and Nato or to the White House,
to hold talks with him and let him dictate what he wants so that
he then leaves you alone." Russia's forces might, if the situation
calmed down and if local people could be found to run the place
properly, return to barracks, but they would never leave. If they
did, nobody would be safe. He simply could not understand why people
abroad could see things differently. Did we have no conscience?
With that he stood up and walked round the room, shaking our hands,
his eyes firmly fixed on each and every one of us.
This article first appeared in the New
Statesman and may not be reproduced
without permission.
|
|
|
|